Kalags
0xb8e4a4551d2c6b080ae5a523ff1f0cae8e922dae
- Realised P&L
- $69.3k
- Volume
- $10.63M
- Markets traded
- 1,171
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,171
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.7kat 0.844US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$7.2kat 0.299Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
- +$7.2kat 0.736Spread: Germany (-5.5)
- +$5.9kat 0.477Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
- +$5.3kat 0.329US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 15:11 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.84 | $331.75 |
| 08-20 13:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.80 |
| 08-20 13:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 23:52 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.03 |
| 08-18 23:51 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.10 |
| 08-18 23:43 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $8.64 |
| 08-18 23:43 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.73 | $8.76 |
| 08-18 23:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $48.35 |
| 08-18 23:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 08-18 23:40 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $80.24 |
| 08-18 23:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.92 |
| 08-18 23:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.71 |
| 08-18 23:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 08-18 22:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 08-18 22:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |