PolyBot

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Traders

Kalags

0xb8e4a4551d2c6b080ae5a523ff1f0cae8e922dae

Realised P&L
$69.3k
Volume
$10.63M
Markets traded
1,171
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,171
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8400.935$835.88+$84.93
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9080.972$211.30+$13.91
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.5300.225$90.00$122.00
Elon Bull Run Combo · No0.9100.945$87.64+$3.20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3330.115$69.43$131.34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.055$16.50$64.50
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.0230.019$10.75$1.74
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8500.988$6.58+$0.92
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7850.064$2.22$25.05
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes0.1500.125$0.75$0.15
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.1060.019$0.45$1.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D · Alliance0.5060.000$0.00$211.19
Will there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft? · No0.0860.000$0.00$13.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$34.83
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$1.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 15:11Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.84$331.75
08-20 13:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.004$0.80
08-20 13:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.005$1.00
08-18 23:52Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.72$5.03
08-18 23:51Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.73$5.10
08-18 23:43Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.72$8.64
08-18 23:43Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.73$8.76
08-18 23:42Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.72$48.35
08-18 23:42Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.73$21.90
08-18 23:40Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.72$80.24
08-18 23:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.08$3.92
08-18 23:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.09$1.71
08-18 23:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.09$2.70
08-18 22:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.08$2.40
08-18 22:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.09$2.70