Kalags
0xb8e4a4551d2c6b080ae5a523ff1f0cae8e922dae
- Realised P&L
- $67.3k
- Volume
- $10.62M
- Markets traded
- 1,183
- Open portfolio
- $500.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,183
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.7kat 0.844US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$7.2kat 0.299Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
- +$7.2kat 0.736Spread: Germany (-5.5)
- +$5.9kat 0.477Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
- +$5.3kat 0.329US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:41 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1220868487 | $204.76 |
| 10-29 17:37 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.6949238238 | $621.25 |
| 10-17 17:18 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.24 | $20.52 |
| 10-17 17:01 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 09-23 19:24 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $14.48 |
| 09-23 15:26 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $189.14 |
| 09-22 10:30 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $42.98 |
| 09-22 08:32 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.207 | $4.14 |
| 09-22 08:31 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.206 | $4.12 |
| 09-22 08:31 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.207 | $2.07 |
| 09-22 08:31 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.207 | $2.07 |
| 09-21 14:26 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.155 | $1.55 |
| 09-21 14:26 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.156 | $1.56 |
| 09-21 14:10 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $8.67 |
| 09-21 14:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.80 |