PolyBot

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Traders

Kalags

0xb8e4a4551d2c6b080ae5a523ff1f0cae8e922dae

Realised P&L
$67.3k
Volume
$10.62M
Markets traded
1,183
Open portfolio
$500.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,183
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9080.980$212.93+$15.54
Elon Bull Run Combo · No0.9100.977$90.61+$6.17
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.5300.175$70.00−$142.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · No0.0600.058$52.54−$2.28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3330.075$45.28−$155.49
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.0230.018$10.20−$2.29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.034$10.05−$70.95
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2070.183$3.67−$0.47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3710.403$2.01+$0.16
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7850.049$1.70−$25.57
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.1060.054$1.26−$1.18
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes0.1500.100$0.60−$0.30
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D · Alliance0.5060.000$0.00−$211.19
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner · Vitality0.6300.000$0.00−$18.89
Will there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft? · No0.0860.000$0.00−$13.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:41Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.1220868487$204.76
10-29 17:37Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.6949238238$621.25
10-17 17:18Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsSELL0.24$20.52
10-17 17:01Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsBUY0.28$280.00
09-23 19:24Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.001$14.48
09-23 15:26Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.4$189.14
09-22 10:30Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.43$42.98
09-22 08:32Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.207$4.14
09-22 08:31Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.206$4.12
09-22 08:31Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.207$2.07
09-22 08:31Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.207$2.07
09-21 14:26Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.155$1.55
09-21 14:26Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.156$1.56
09-21 14:10Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.51$8.67
09-21 14:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.06$1.80