PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb8b1dc98add57580568f2d386bf79c7856ebac9a

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$250.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.3600.615$170.83+$70.83
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.2350.051$65.67−$234.33
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3850.056$14.42−$85.58
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$81.00
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs · Eternal Fire0.2400.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$300.00
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · LGD Gaming0.2130.000$0.00−$115.74
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · Yes0.2980.000$0.00−$199.70
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs · RED Canids0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · KT Rolster0.2220.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:09Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1204876018$23.22
09-15 20:09Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.119999999$10.00
09-15 20:09Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.119999999$10.00
09-15 20:09Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.119999999$10.00
09-15 20:01Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.06$50.00
09-11 13:10Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?BUY0.27$58.43
09-11 13:09Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?SELL0.441$0.44
09-08 11:42Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.2979851006$200.00
09-06 11:41LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final FourSELL0.4706463137$14.49
09-06 10:29LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonBUY0.0699999939$10.00
09-06 10:23LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsBUY0.1299999902$10.00
09-06 10:17LoL: FENNEL vs New Meta (BO5) - LJL PlayoffsBUY0.015$0.11
09-06 06:21LoL: Karmine Corp Blue Stars vs Project Conquerors (BO5) - Nexus League PlayoffsBUY0.22$28.60
09-06 05:06LoL: CITA Kaizen vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonBUY0.13$23.40
09-06 05:04LoL: FENNEL vs New Meta (BO5) - LJL PlayoffsBUY0.1$20.00