PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xB885A63299a2F527B882e337cd2027036492927A-1773416849617

0xb885a63299a2f527b882e337cd2027036492927a

Realised P&L
$-19.29
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$278.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4900.465$41.85−$2.25
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4190.369$37.08−$5.07
Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3001.000$33.00+$23.10
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9280.922$24.00−$0.14
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2200.236$23.87+$1.59
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7480.825$20.68+$1.93
Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2230.216$19.57−$0.59
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1300.140$14.00+$1.00
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? · No0.9370.893$13.44−$0.66
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1150.116$12.20+$0.12
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2190.091$8.23−$11.57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4800.355$7.37−$2.59
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.9200.580$6.24−$3.66
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0300.038$4.00+$0.88
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.105$2.63−$2.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 11:46Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3$9.90
10-30 11:30Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9199999628$9.90
10-29 15:47Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.0133861004$1.39
10-29 15:47Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.0170741319$1.75
10-29 15:47Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.029$2.98
10-29 15:47Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.1$10.00
10-29 15:47Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.0960113658$9.97
10-29 15:47Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.203782$20.38
10-29 15:47Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.4046$40.46
10-29 15:32Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$1.08
10-29 15:31Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0051772489$1.08
10-29 15:17Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2189999998$19.80
10-29 15:17Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2229999986$20.16
10-29 15:17Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.49$44.10
10-29 11:43Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0239999999$2.50
Trader 0xB885A63299a2F527B882e337cd2027036492927A-1773416849617 · PolyBot Pro