0xB885A63299a2F527B882e337cd2027036492927A-1773416849617
0xb885a63299a2f527b882e337cd2027036492927a
- Realised P&L
- $-19.29
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $278.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.64at 0.120Bulls vs. Clippers
- +$4.73at 0.100Knicks vs. Pacers
- +$0.96at 0.870Bulls vs. Clippers
- +$-5.76at 0.295Pelicans vs. Rockets
- +$-7.94at 0.068Timberwolves vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 11:46 | Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.90 |
| 10-30 11:30 | Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9199999628 | $9.90 |
| 10-29 15:47 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.0133861004 | $1.39 |
| 10-29 15:47 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.0170741319 | $1.75 |
| 10-29 15:47 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.029 | $2.98 |
| 10-29 15:47 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 15:47 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.0960113658 | $9.97 |
| 10-29 15:47 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.203782 | $20.38 |
| 10-29 15:47 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.4046 | $40.46 |
| 10-29 15:32 | Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.08 |
| 10-29 15:31 | Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0051772489 | $1.08 |
| 10-29 15:17 | Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2189999998 | $19.80 |
| 10-29 15:17 | Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2229999986 | $20.16 |
| 10-29 15:17 | Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.49 | $44.10 |
| 10-29 11:43 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $2.50 |