PolyBot

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Traders

FatCat05

0xb86a204fa90858f0776bc7990057d96c254dc1d8

Realised P&L
$-733.67
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$299.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0510.043$187.96−$34.83
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2200.285$64.77+$14.77
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1870.086$46.17−$53.83
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0900.003$0.33−$9.67
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00−$110.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$50.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$20.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00−$50.00
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00−$70.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4680.000$0.00−$40.00
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00−$10.40
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:25Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.048$3.24
09-11 02:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0818663236$10.00
09-08 23:56Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0405138339$10.00
09-08 23:56Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
09-08 23:55Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.0495310044$110.00
07-23 20:01Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.104$1.10
07-23 19:58Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2199999968$50.00
07-23 19:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4679981347$40.00
07-23 19:40Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.3499999952$40.00
07-23 19:40Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.1769389534$50.00
07-23 19:39Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.06$60.00
07-23 19:37US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.2713738001$70.00
07-23 19:35Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.1873494718$100.00
07-23 19:33US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.579999983$30.00
07-23 19:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3899999959$50.00