kodoving
0xb7ef6f754c02cecc865ac9f7c6338228b9bb76ca
- Realised P&L
- $5.74
- Volume
- $180.97
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $14.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.425 | $6.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.245 | $6.05 | −$1.95 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.050 | $1.30 | −$5.70 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.009 | $0.40 | −$6.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.14at 0.500Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$6.00at 0.500Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$-7.41at 0.180Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 10:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 18:19 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2699999992 | $7.00 |
| 09-26 09:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26? | BUY | 0.1702702666 | $7.00 |
| 09-20 09:58 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3239263764 | $8.00 |
| 09-19 08:17 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.4899999755 | $7.00 |
| 09-19 07:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 09-19 07:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999939 | $7.00 |