Shinigami-19
0xb74b25d4123f5c300aa0bce2e740c6d355e82c32
- Realised P&L
- $3.70
- Volume
- $287.11
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $48.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.34at 0.477Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$2.92at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.76at 0.696Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$1.66at 0.647Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.58at 0.657Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 21:42 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.9849999967 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 20:53 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.00 |
| 07-03 13:30 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5199999844 | $4.00 |
| 07-03 13:29 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.00 |
| 07-03 13:29 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 16:45 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.00 |
| 07-02 16:44 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7649999799 | $4.00 |
| 06-28 00:31 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 00:30 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 00:30 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 00:28 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 00:28 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 00:27 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7199999808 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 00:24 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $3.00 |
| 06-25 21:39 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.18 |