PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cpwc

0xb7081c4c1aa8aacefb76df8f25238a9d541d2f87

Realised P&L
$-42.12
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$79.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.745$22.35$0.15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6200.425$12.75$5.85
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.305$12.20$11.80
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.046$6.97$21.52
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$5.50$2.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6600.157$4.71$15.09
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6400.145$4.35$14.85
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1300.105$4.22$0.98
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.6600.145$2.90$10.30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.055$1.65$4.65
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.038$1.54$5.26
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$7.87
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00$4.90
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.40
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$16.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 07:50Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.56$8.40
07-19 07:46Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.54$8.10
07-19 07:45Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5BUY0.775$19.38
07-15 20:49Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.181$3.62
07-15 20:31Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.318$6.36
07-09 13:49Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsBUY0.44$8.80
07-09 13:30Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6$15.00
07-09 13:29Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.225$4.00
07-07 17:37Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.58$11.60
07-07 17:37Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5SELL0.573$14.32
07-07 17:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.08$1.20
07-07 17:07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4$6.00
07-07 17:01Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.81$16.20
07-07 17:01Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5BUY0.818$20.45
07-07 17:00Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.39$5.85