Nick-eth
0xb6c3dd61658194b11719db1a78c97c8f7b9feb07
- Realised P&L
- $-15.8k
- Volume
- $908.5k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.621 | 0.976 | $3.6k | +$1.3k |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.890 | 0.945 | $3.5k | +$203.50 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.812 | 0.046 | $741.19 | −$12.2k |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.698 | 0.155 | $281.02 | −$984.00 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.855 | $189.81 | +$92.13 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? · No | 0.361 | 0.898 | $169.47 | +$101.33 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.003 | $18.00 | −$167.30 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.061 | $4.29 | +$0.80 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $1.33 | −$118.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.090Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$3.3kat 0.859Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$3.0kat 0.630LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$2.3kat 0.880Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$2.2kat 0.048No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 19:45 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9625629779 | $2.6k |
| 03-08 23:35 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 03-08 22:54 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $320.00 |
| 03-08 22:54 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $640.00 |
| 03-08 22:47 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.7980142108 | $345.36 |
| 03-08 04:26 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.67 | $154.10 |
| 03-08 00:51 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.2k |
| 03-07 19:09 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.02 |
| 03-06 23:35 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.09 | $252.00 |
| 03-02 14:38 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $72.80 |
| 03-02 14:37 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 03-02 14:37 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 03-02 14:37 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 03-02 14:36 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 03-02 14:36 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |