Nick-eth
0xb6c3dd61658194b11719db1a78c97c8f7b9feb07
- Realised P&L
- $-14.9k
- Volume
- $908.5k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $15.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.090Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$3.3kat 0.859Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$3.0kat 0.630LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$2.3kat 0.880Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$2.2kat 0.048No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 19:45 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9625629779 | $2.6k |
| 03-08 23:35 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 03-08 22:54 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $320.00 |
| 03-08 22:54 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $640.00 |
| 03-08 22:47 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.7980142108 | $345.36 |
| 03-08 04:26 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.67 | $154.10 |
| 03-08 00:51 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.2k |
| 03-07 19:09 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.02 |
| 03-06 23:35 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.09 | $252.00 |
| 03-02 14:38 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $72.80 |
| 03-02 14:37 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 03-02 14:37 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 03-02 14:37 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 03-02 14:36 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 03-02 14:36 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |