R21llsa
0xb6a2a66e8ee6ec02189125481461c64f35ad4b66
- Realised P&L
- $180.55
- Volume
- $3.35M
- Markets traded
- 2,900
- Open portfolio
- $47.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,900
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.87at 0.111Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
- +$61.86at 0.319Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)
- +$52.26at 0.004Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?
- +$49.65at 0.895Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?
- +$41.89at 0.927Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 04:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.52 |
| 07-17 10:25 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.49 |
| 07-15 23:06 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.32 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.47 |
| 07-11 12:09 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $7.18 |
| 07-07 11:54 | Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.53 |
| 07-07 09:00 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.54 |
| 07-02 05:17 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 07-02 05:13 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 07-02 05:10 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 06-30 19:52 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.93 |
| 06-30 16:18 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.14 |
| 06-28 15:20 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.57 |
| 06-27 12:50 | Will Amazon acquire TikTok? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.32 |
| 06-26 08:26 | Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.60 |