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Traders

R21llsa

0xb6a2a66e8ee6ec02189125481461c64f35ad4b66

Realised P&L
$180.55
Volume
$3.35M
Markets traded
2,900
Open portfolio
$47.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,900
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.7831.000$4.75+$1.03
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1801.000$4.36+$3.58
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.4500.830$3.78+$1.73
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · No0.8100.987$3.33+$0.60
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? · No0.7700.800$3.24+$0.12
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.0420.979$3.07+$2.94
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · No0.6840.876$2.31+$0.51
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? · Yes0.4110.997$2.27+$1.33
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.2600.610$2.15+$1.24
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5200.905$1.62+$0.69
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? · No0.5800.640$1.52+$0.14
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat? · Yes0.7600.670$1.26$0.17
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat? · Yes0.8400.875$1.12+$0.04
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · No0.7100.200$1.00$2.56
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? · Yes0.6900.690$0.95$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 04:23Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?SELL0.24$2.52
07-17 10:25Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$0.49
07-15 23:06Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.004$0.32
07-14 20:29Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$0.47
07-11 12:09Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.002$7.18
07-07 11:54Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$0.53
07-07 09:00Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.011$0.54
07-02 05:17Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?SELL0.001$0.06
07-02 05:13Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?SELL0.001$0.14
07-02 05:10Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?SELL0.001$0.14
06-30 19:52Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.07$0.93
06-30 16:18Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$0.14
06-28 15:20Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.022$2.57
06-27 12:50Will Amazon acquire TikTok?SELL0.002$0.32
06-26 08:26Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.002$0.60