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Traders

polyinit-345-28c90b

0xb616168fa1664effc42cc47980e8b70f3e2e4f01

Realised P&L
$-35.12
Volume
$892.97
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$9.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year? · No0.7500.880$1.17+$0.17
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.6800.725$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4500.455$1.01+$0.01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4500.455$1.01+$0.01
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.8650.866$1.00+$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.825$0.99$0.01
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.6800.675$0.99$0.01
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.6600.595$0.90$0.10
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.595$0.89$0.11
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner · KT Rolster0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Team WE0.6000.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins · Shark Attack0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner · KT Rolster0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner · Gen.G0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Team WE0.6100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 13:53LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-07 12:49LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4$1.00
08-07 11:34LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.6$1.00
08-07 11:16LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5$1.00
08-07 10:12LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-07 09:44LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6099998597$1.00
08-07 08:59LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3599998704$1.00
08-07 08:08LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-07 07:14LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.74$1.00
08-07 03:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.95$1.00
08-07 02:05Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-07 00:10Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-06 14:51LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-06 13:50LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.74$1.00
08-06 13:25Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?BUY0.75$1.00