polyinit-345-28c90b
0xb616168fa1664effc42cc47980e8b70f3e2e4f01
- Realised P&L
- $-35.12
- Volume
- $892.97
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $9.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.88at 0.170Set Handicap: Frech (-1.5) vs Li (+1.5)
- +$4.26at 0.190Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien
- +$3.55at 0.220Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul
- +$2.45at 0.290LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins
- +$2.45at 0.290LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 13:53 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 12:49 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 11:34 | LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 11:16 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 10:12 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 09:44 | LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:59 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:08 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 07:14 | LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 02:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 00:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 14:51 | LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:50 | LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:25 | Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |