PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb57863715c51905c1d2e4ee43f701a4667d8018a

0xb57863715c51905c1d2e4ee43f701a4667d8018a

Realised P&L
$4.21
Volume
$461.33
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$4.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.8000.735$2.10−$0.19
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? · No0.4400.445$1.01+$0.01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? · Down0.7000.615$0.88−$0.12
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.045$0.27−$2.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 07:07S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.7$1.00
10-14 23:06Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-14 03:02S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-11 19:01Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-11 11:01Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-11 02:52Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-10 17:38Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-10 17:14Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.64$1.00
10-10 07:58Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-09 11:24Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 03:24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 19:23Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 11:05Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-08 03:05Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-08 01:52Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00