0xB56a3607E2eBf92D99cbEBc386Ab90E126dB9e83-1752141819539
0xb56a3607e2ebf92d99cbebc386ab90e126db9e83
- Realised P&L
- $-657.90
- Volume
- $95.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $56.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$861.02at 0.350US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$208.36at 0.329US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$150.00at 0.250Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gaming
- +$141.90at 0.550US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$37.42at 0.904US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 02:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $22.25 |
| 08-28 14:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 14:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5742574234 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 12:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.016112916 | $119.49 |
| 08-04 04:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0134916664 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 04:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0838271691 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 04:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0134781657 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 18:48 | Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 06-17 18:04 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 06:58 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.014 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 06:58 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.007 | $100.00 |
| 04-22 06:19 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.0580337091 | $80.00 |
| 04-22 05:36 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.0059652666 | $20.00 |
| 04-18 19:09 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0063940508 | $128.00 |