PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Baallberith

0xb5283cc6023ba782ea3f168389d2f1b66582a113

Realised P&L
$3.48
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$9.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? · Yes0.0600.121$4.03+$2.03
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.2600.620$2.38+$1.38
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5100.135$1.32−$3.68
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2430.154$1.27−$0.73
Will Trump deport 600-700k people? · Yes0.0600.018$0.29−$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 17:51Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.06$1.11
03-26 15:01Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.242999928$2.00
03-26 14:59Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.242$0.87
03-26 14:58Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?SELL0.03$0.33
03-04 17:15Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.549999956$5.00
03-04 01:28Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?SELL0.048$2.46
03-04 01:27Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
03-04 01:26Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY0.0487077443$5.00
03-04 01:23Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?SELL0.0083808946$0.62
03-04 01:22Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?BUY0.0134721476$1.00
03-02 18:53Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.269999937$3.00
03-02 18:53Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.0669999798$3.00
03-02 18:50Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
03-02 18:50Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.0649999712$2.00
02-28 23:17Khamenei seen in public by February 28?SELL0.014$0.33