PolyBot

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Traders

nicolasi

0xb4fc42ee4807f9c88d8f4e85e51748dc5182d082

Realised P&L
$279.64
Volume
$47.0k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$53.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 11:35Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9959999841$25.00
08-24 11:32Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.991$495.50
07-19 03:10Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.991$935.50
07-07 09:50Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.996$13.93
07-07 09:50Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.992$1.4k
07-07 09:49Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$5.50
06-16 02:09Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.95$13.30
06-08 09:04Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.997$13.96
05-26 02:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.999$53.95
05-26 02:03Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$24.98
05-26 02:02Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?BUY0.999$1.4k
05-16 06:22Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?BUY0.998$12.57
05-16 06:22Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in May?BUY0.973$13.62
05-16 06:20Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.973$734.62
05-16 06:19Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.978$748.17