SirBirma
0xb4f6bf80ccdedfc0c06186e598c0e72601f9ad31
- Realised P&L
- $7.09
- Volume
- $296.99
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $22.29
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.45at 0.407Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$4.23at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$3.37at 0.377Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.10at 0.327Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 01:03 | Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:03 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:02 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:02 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:02 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:01 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.33 |
| 09-25 08:21 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999275 | $1.13 |
| 09-25 08:21 | Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.6699998696 | $1.13 |
| 09-25 08:20 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.589999765 | $1.13 |
| 09-25 08:20 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.6299999275 | $1.13 |
| 09-25 08:20 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7469997713 | $1.13 |
| 09-12 00:29 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 00:28 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.859 | $1.48 |
| 09-08 13:01 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:01 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |