PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BWY.fx

0xb4c6e5bfb2aa77ddce46fda31a7242a69000e939

Realised P&L
$-216.58
Volume
$41.9k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$102.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.946$37.84+$11.84
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · No0.2320.175$26.43$8.68
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2080.265$19.88+$4.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.255$12.75+$2.75
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5400.510$5.10$0.30
Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3770.013$0.29$7.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00$1.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.0990.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up0.0620.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.0370.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:42Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.22$9.90
09-13 11:59Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.54$2.63
09-10 15:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.37$10.36
09-03 10:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.5$37.50
08-28 14:42Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.68$13.60
08-20 16:01Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?SELL0.33$0.27
08-20 16:00Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?SELL0.33$1.65
07-25 14:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.0617283951$1.00
07-25 13:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
07-25 13:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.239999856$1.00
07-25 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.0803570718$1.00
07-25 13:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-25 13:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
07-25 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.3099998295$1.00
07-25 13:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSELL0.89$2.96