setcent
0xb456db42bfdc88746b7887d4211d282cf556b14d
- Realised P&L
- $60.02
- Volume
- $76.1k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $27.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 10? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $19.91 | −$0.07 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.484 | $4.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.154 | $2.09 | −$2.91 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.045 | $0.87 | −$4.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.24at 0.290Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
- +$8.40at 0.995Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 15-21?
- +$7.09at 0.220Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?
- +$6.39at 0.610Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
- +$6.33at 0.240Will Belarus vs. Greece end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:56 | Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-18 13:56 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.52 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on August 11? | BUY | 0.9985348837 | $214.68 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $193.51 |
| 08-02 03:41 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.91 |
| 08-02 03:41 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-02 03:41 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-02 03:41 | Will the price of Solana be above $50 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 08-02 03:40 | Will the price of Solana be above $50 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.89 |
| 08-02 03:40 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-26 02:52 | Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 07-26 02:52 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 07-21 07:27 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 07-21 07:27 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $209.84 |