Nobbler
0xb44361b6cbf0dd21881509a367c1672fad24a0ca
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $141.9k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.542 | $487.88 | +$271.65 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.413 | 0.555 | $277.83 | +$71.08 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.670 | 0.787 | $275.63 | +$41.13 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.125 | $225.04 | −$524.09 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.581 | 0.436 | $175.30 | −$58.05 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.225 | $45.09 | −$29.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.309Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.4kat 0.269Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$503.77at 0.335Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$416.41at 0.600Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$358.89at 0.193Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 05:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.273 | $13.21 |
| 08-12 05:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.273 | $13.78 |
| 08-03 05:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.248 | $11.76 |
| 08-03 05:10 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.465 | $23.41 |
| 08-02 06:58 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.972 | $291.85 |
| 07-30 18:46 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.148 | $4.80 |
| 07-30 17:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.37 | $4.17 |
| 07-30 07:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.75 |
| 07-30 07:51 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $37.50 |
| 07-30 07:51 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.508 | $26.04 |
| 07-29 21:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $19.17 |
| 07-25 22:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.51 |
| 07-25 16:49 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $33.99 |
| 07-25 08:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 07-25 07:16 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.65 | $16.25 |