SiKh
0xb3d343684ca9cde27d58cd6ea0bc4081768d76d1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $141.3k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.576US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$575.52at 0.185Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$532.50at 0.373US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$478.67at 0.136Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$390.62at 0.109Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-18 14:51 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $8.60 |
| 09-16 15:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 14:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 09-16 13:44 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.19 |
| 09-16 13:40 | Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.15 | $42.75 |
| 09-16 12:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 10:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $82.50 |
| 09-14 14:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $19.90 |
| 09-14 12:36 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 09-14 09:21 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 07:24 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 09-11 15:09 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 09-11 12:36 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.24 |
| 09-11 10:03 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | SELL | 0.15 | $21.35 |