0xb38c074bb061a8ca847c3fe46f6285fd70813f22
- Realised P&L
- $-483.01
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $922.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.23at 0.548Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5
- +$122.94at 0.340Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
- +$76.69at 0.310Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)
- +$32.82at 0.510Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5
- +$4.52at 0.280US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 17:02 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.26 |
| 05-31 14:43 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 05-31 14:41 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 05-25 20:08 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $297.60 |
| 05-25 20:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $297.60 |
| 05-25 20:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $316.80 |
| 04-12 03:12 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $7.89 |
| 04-12 03:12 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $17.56 |
| 04-12 02:47 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.145 | $1.38 |
| 04-12 02:43 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $5.55 |
| 04-12 02:38 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | BUY | 0.18 | $9.51 |
| 04-12 02:38 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $28.62 |
| 04-12 02:38 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 13.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $34.80 |
| 04-06 17:42 | Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.9615682211 | $22.27 |
| 04-06 17:38 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division? | SELL | 0.88604125 | $70.88 |