PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb38c074bb061a8ca847c3fe46f6285fd70813f22

Realised P&L
$-483.01
Volume
$9.7k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$922.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9140.939$184.42+$4.98
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7900.910$136.50+$18.00
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9300.935$80.11+$0.43
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8100.905$69.23+$7.27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.735$67.47$4.13
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? · Yes0.1621.000$66.95+$56.07
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.4000.785$60.05+$29.45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2030.265$41.63+$9.79
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7200.820$40.63+$4.96
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4330.160$30.61$52.31
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.1950.285$30.58+$9.63
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.215$16.45$28.69
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5100.605$15.13+$2.38
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4840.395$13.82$3.12
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1900.090$13.50$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 17:02Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.18$2.26
05-31 14:43Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.48$2.40
05-31 14:41Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.49$2.45
05-25 20:08Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$297.60
05-25 20:08Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$297.60
05-25 20:07Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$316.80
04-12 03:12Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)BUY0.65$7.89
04-12 03:12Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)BUY0.61$17.56
04-12 02:47Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)BUY0.145$1.38
04-12 02:43Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5BUY0.29$5.55
04-12 02:38Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)BUY0.18$9.51
04-12 02:38Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5BUY0.53$28.62
04-12 02:38Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 13.5BUY0.39$34.80
04-06 17:42Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?SELL0.9615682211$22.27
04-06 17:38Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?SELL0.88604125$70.88