PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bitkeep

0xb36b8eb8902a2a7918ce2fbca840c353ee7f3437

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$60.4k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$286.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0830.086$89.38+$2.23
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.043$42.90$357.10
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2460.207$41.50$7.70
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2520.192$37.65$11.99
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.026$26.00$224.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0780.128$25.50+$9.90
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1710.117$23.50$10.70
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$13.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.2770.000$0.00$88.45
Will the price of Solana be above $230 on October 3? · No0.7770.000$0.00$5.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.3350.000$0.00$6.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00$4.80
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 4? · No0.1500.000$0.00$39.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$68.00
Will the price of Solana be between $250 and $260 on September 21? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-06 15:15Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.95$82.50
04-23 15:49Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.260999992$20.00
04-23 15:49Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.077784417$20.00
04-23 15:48Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.924$56.07
03-08 03:23Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.6899999906$59.92
03-08 03:22China x Philippines military clash before 2027?SELL0.24$48.00
02-18 02:45Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.47$4.55
02-18 02:35Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.09$1.79
02-18 02:25Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.429999828$0.97
02-18 02:22Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSELL0.75$11.56
02-18 02:22Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.64$9.73
02-18 02:19Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.246$49.20
02-17 17:27Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.91$11.58
02-17 17:26Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.7799999984$9.85
02-17 17:25Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.35$6.89