PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

haliy

0xb352ddcbd03e1da70434e9cfb20c53153c77289b

Realised P&L
$-144.72
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$83.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · No0.9100.805$16.10−$2.10
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? · No0.5200.732$14.63+$4.24
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.8200.835$13.92+$0.25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.5760.473$9.46−$2.06
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · No0.5600.375$7.50−$3.70
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.3400.355$7.10+$0.30
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.1600.275$5.50+$2.30
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026? · No0.4450.264$5.28−$3.62
Will Caio Borralho fight Gregory Rodrigues next? · Yes0.1460.147$2.94+$0.02
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.4600.080$1.20−$5.70
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.0040.003$0.05−$0.03
Will Accelevation's market cap be between $5B and $5.5B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$3.80
Will Accelevation's market cap be between $6B and $7B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$4.00
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.02
Will Accelevation's market cap be less than $4B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1920.000$0.00−$3.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 12:28Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?SELL0.78$15.60
10-03 07:37Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?SELL0.57$11.40
10-03 07:07Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?BUY0.2$4.00
10-03 06:44Will Conor McGregor fight Michael Chandler next?SELL0.81$0.17
10-03 06:44Will Conor McGregor fight Michael Chandler next?BUY0.8310953946$16.80
10-03 06:37Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?BUY0.234$4.68
10-03 06:32Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?SELL0.26$0.05
10-03 06:32Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?BUY0.2971277551$6.00
10-03 06:22Will Jean Silva fight Kevin Vallejos next?SELL0.902$0.01
10-03 06:22Will Jean Silva fight Kevin Vallejos next?BUY0.8795002818$17.60
10-03 06:21Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?SELL0.16$3.20
10-03 06:17Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
10-03 05:59Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?SELL0.5$0.01
10-03 05:59Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?BUY0.5$5.15
10-03 04:14Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?BUY0.31$6.20