PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MuscleKitten

0xb307ae114d9c2c2f3dde6f1aee5f2ae23ad6412e

Realised P&L
$-16.86
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$31.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? · Yes0.6970.700$13.99+$0.05
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? · Yes0.4500.610$6.10+$1.60
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5800.550$4.74$0.26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.425$4.25+$0.25
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? · Yes0.2500.190$1.90$0.60
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0500.049$0.48$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:46Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
05-09 10:22Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?SELL0.13$1.39
05-07 11:49MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.242$2.42
05-06 13:16Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?BUY0.5599999963$6.00
04-08 06:48US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.0049722383$3.00
04-07 17:39US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.005$5.00
04-07 10:51US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.003$3.00
04-06 08:27US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$6.00
04-05 15:11Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?SELL0.12$1.20
04-05 15:05Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?SELL0.495$25.71
04-02 20:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.6299999821$12.00
04-01 16:11US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.48$11.04
04-01 14:57Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?BUY0.2309999894$12.00
03-23 19:53Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?SELL0.001$0.06
03-23 11:30Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?SELL0.723$16.77