PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb2a966faaB90100fC6b96ed399566C8E105225d5-1759293099891

0xb2a966faab90100fc6b96ed399566c8e105225d5

Realised P&L
$628.30
Volume
$26.9k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.7560.872$576.33+$76.33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.8250.930$338.39+$38.39
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.945$275.89+$33.57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? · No0.7160.725$172.24+$2.24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? · No0.6870.690$100.37+$0.37
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.8290.777$93.79$6.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.1610.399$29.74+$17.74
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6460.485$22.55$7.45
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.045$2.25$3.75
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Netherlands0.2500.000$0.00$3.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00$20.00
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5) · Shelton0.4630.000$0.00$21.50
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) · Thunder0.5000.000$0.00$20.00
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz0.7900.000$0.00$30.00
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 18:55Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?BUY0.6860795421$70.00
09-14 18:30Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?BUY0.4856437633$10.00
09-14 18:02Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 16, 2026?BUY0.629999995$10.00
09-13 20:16US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonSELL0.91$7.69
09-13 20:08US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonSELL0.89$7.82
09-12 19:41Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
09-12 14:54US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBUY0.5799999768$10.00
09-12 14:10Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.649999974$10.00
09-11 12:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-11 04:26Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.0318200082$1.55
09-10 22:00Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.8006797258$200.00
09-09 18:52Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?SELL0.004$0.40
09-09 07:11Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.64$30.00
09-09 06:42Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.5336120643$29.55
09-09 05:55Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?SELL0.93$33.88