PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb2a966faab90100fc6b96ed399566c8e105225d5

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.7560.872$576.00+$76.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? · No0.7250.805$466.40+$46.40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.9710.927$324.50−$15.50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? · No0.7160.715$169.86−$0.14
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.964$137.83+$19.10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · No0.7700.908$86.67+$13.17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.825$49.70−$0.30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5580.558$40.03+$0.03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? · No0.5740.578$30.18+$0.18
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No0.6060.575$28.48−$1.52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.1610.569$20.79+$14.91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6500.385$11.85−$8.15
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Netherlands0.2500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00−$20.00
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5) · Shelton0.4630.000$0.00−$21.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 05:42Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?BUY0.573999993$30.00
10-29 14:49Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.829999998$50.00
10-29 06:24Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.776874461$200.00
10-28 21:14Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.98858448$123.57
10-28 08:45Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.9445534034$51.20
10-27 20:38Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.908$49.22
10-27 16:35Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3964143372$10.00
10-20 13:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6203207051$23.58
10-19 18:10Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.92$99.74
10-18 04:47Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.029$3.00
10-17 14:59Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.6799999971$120.00
10-17 14:58Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$139.96
10-13 15:17Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?BUY0.3915043555$3.00
10-08 17:55US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.6056393912$30.00
10-08 17:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.11$3.67