0xb2a966faab90100fc6b96ed399566c8e105225d5
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.04at 0.340Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$59.12at 0.584Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$59.06at 0.559Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
- +$50.63at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?
- +$48.11at 0.940Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 05:42 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.573999993 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 14:49 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 06:24 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | BUY | 0.776874461 | $200.00 |
| 10-28 21:14 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.98858448 | $123.57 |
| 10-28 08:45 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9445534034 | $51.20 |
| 10-27 20:38 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.908 | $49.22 |
| 10-27 16:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3964143372 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 13:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6203207051 | $23.58 |
| 10-19 18:10 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.92 | $99.74 |
| 10-18 04:47 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.029 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 14:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | BUY | 0.6799999971 | $120.00 |
| 10-17 14:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $139.96 |
| 10-13 15:17 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3915043555 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:55 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.6056393912 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 17:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.67 |