0xb2743e427b21cf1e369fc7eeacf512542c8f4b0e
0xb2743e427b21cf1e369fc7eeacf512542c8f4b0e
- Realised P&L
- $-81.61
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $13.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.40at 0.349SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$10.74at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$9.87at 0.422Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$8.91at 0.440Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
- +$8.71at 0.452Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 14:15 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:15 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:15 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:15 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:05 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:58 | Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:57 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:48 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:35 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:25 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7989999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:04 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |