PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB2250ea026886cE6fA8cC9AbD8f7B1Bf1262D4a1-1779514067305

0xb2250ea026886ce6fa8cc9abd8f7b1bf1262d4a1

Realised P&L
$730.65
Volume
$323.0k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.015$278.95−$466.84
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1350.040$263.33−$636.65
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1100.185$168.18+$68.18
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7920.955$162.78+$27.78
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No0.8000.953$119.06+$19.06
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · No0.8870.945$117.16+$7.16
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8800.945$107.39+$7.39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.105$105.00−$195.00
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6900.605$87.68−$12.32
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0120.003$42.82−$157.16
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.2510.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Up0.3470.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? · No0.1560.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5850.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 17:35Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.264485699$574.25
10-27 20:39Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.3$338.53
10-20 14:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.2002316965$100.00
10-20 14:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.5999999988$100.00
10-20 14:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.6299999989$100.00
10-05 11:12Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1099999999$100.00
09-21 19:14Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.139$217.19
09-20 15:09Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0097158531$100.00
09-20 15:07Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0080213595$100.00
09-20 08:48Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0337371014$300.00
09-19 18:56Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0112607308$100.00
09-04 06:01Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0363171407$45.81
09-04 06:01Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0354505168$200.00
09-04 05:57Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.128$200.00
09-04 05:57Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.1899999986$100.00