0xB1E78cb7689F0d8CF8AD42A7423d849247345d74-1782006994667
0xb1e78cb7689f0d8cf8ad42a7423d849247345d74
- Realised P&L
- $-99.05
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $15.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.220US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.37at 0.2070 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
- +$-1.48at 0.155Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
- +$-2.52at 0.014US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
- +$-2.80at 0.280Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 09:09 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 09-22 17:13 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.059 | $2.95 |
| 09-22 17:12 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 15:45 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.15 |
| 09-20 15:44 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.22 |
| 09-20 14:41 | Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.77 |
| 09-20 07:03 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.09 |
| 09-19 14:58 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.084 | $1.68 |
| 09-16 07:25 | Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:01 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.127 | $3.81 |
| 09-16 01:58 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.72 |
| 09-10 17:28 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 16:49 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 09-09 16:47 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 16:45 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,900? | SELL | 0.039 | $3.48 |