PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb1DBA9476E613C0FCE6f8Fb47b03C0C6E6B29292-1772766550331

0xb1dba9476e613c0fce6f8fb47b03c0c6e6b29292

Realised P&L
$-3.12
Volume
$79.53
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$21.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.983$5.28+$0.11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5900.575$4.78−$0.12
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 3.9%? · No0.9800.940$2.77−$0.12
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9500.888$2.41−$0.17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9440.975$2.06+$0.06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3900.395$2.03+$0.03
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.6900.860$1.99+$0.39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · No0.6350.108$0.51−$2.49
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00−$1.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:27Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-22 05:56Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.6349999259$3.00
09-17 02:53Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.95$2.58
09-07 02:13Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 3.9%?BUY0.98$2.89
09-01 02:55Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?BUY0.154$1.54
07-13 02:39Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.6899999051$1.60
06-25 03:21Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9739998763$6.00
06-10 02:52Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.962999557$1.00
05-21 02:10Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9439999773$2.00
05-08 03:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4699998912$1.90
04-14 08:48Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9689994793$1.42
04-02 07:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.9399999971$6.50
03-27 05:48Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9619999963$5.17
03-24 08:05Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5899999542$4.90
03-18 06:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.9859999994$3.16