0xB1CC95C85216164A891D17cA6393B1aFCd0C765d-1775826468805
0xb1cc95c85216164a891d17ca6393b1afcd0c765d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.05
- Volume
- $657.27
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $14.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.23at 0.260Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$2.13at 0.320Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.500Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.496Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$0.47at 0.810Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 20:16 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 20:13 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | BUY | 0.0047062515 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 12:19 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3009998019 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 12:18 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 12:15 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 12:14 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:39 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:35 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:33 | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:25 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:21 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:20 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:17 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:15 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:12 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1520190024 | $1.00 |