AugustL07
0xb19532530f5535b29f01656cbdb8696a2bb589f8
- Realised P&L
- $-27.42
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $48.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.16at 0.438Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$1.61at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$1.48at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$1.30at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$1.14at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 10:08 | Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09? | BUY | 0.5109999337 | $3.50 |
| 08-06 10:08 | Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.5199999603 | $2.62 |
| 08-06 09:37 | Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.91 |
| 08-06 03:21 | Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.4899999709 | $2.86 |
| 08-06 02:50 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.5099999942 | $2.62 |
| 08-06 02:19 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 08-06 00:14 | Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.5199999245 | $3.03 |
| 08-05 23:12 | Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.5199999465 | $3.50 |
| 08-05 21:09 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999384 | $3.50 |
| 08-05 20:07 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.36 |
| 08-05 19:35 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999465 | $3.50 |
| 08-05 17:26 | Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.4799999726 | $3.50 |
| 08-05 16:59 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 16:30 | Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | BUY | 0.5399998106 | $2.68 |
| 08-05 14:53 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.5199999427 | $2.54 |