AugustL07
0xb19532530f5535b29f01656cbdb8696a2bb589f8
- Realised P&L
- $-61.50
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $30.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.16at 0.515NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
- +$3.72at 0.490Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
- +$3.57at 0.500Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
- +$3.53at 0.501Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?
- +$3.53at 0.495Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:52 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.5299999214 | $3.44 |
| 10-05 19:40 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5099999442 | $2.65 |
| 10-05 15:53 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.5199999406 | $3.50 |
| 10-05 13:06 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.509999933 | $3.50 |
| 10-02 12:06 | Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.5199999406 | $3.50 |
| 10-02 12:06 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 10-01 18:46 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.86 |
| 10-01 15:03 | Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5099999442 | $2.65 |
| 09-27 20:30 | Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.502999933 | $3.16 |
| 09-27 14:40 | Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.509999933 | $3.50 |
| 09-25 10:38 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.5199999406 | $3.50 |
| 09-25 06:57 | Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.4899999412 | $3.50 |
| 09-19 05:22 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 09-18 23:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.509999933 | $3.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5199999406 | $3.50 |