PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb146adbda69fae13388b7cfddfb611b37b7bc098

Realised P&L
$-300.28
Volume
$273.5k
Markets traded
1,326
Open portfolio
$242.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,326
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2770.160$40.61$29.80
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.415$37.61$19.48
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7430.425$18.63$13.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.045$17.71$64.98
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.7400.320$14.44$18.95
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.7100.455$11.10$6.22
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0360.025$10.75$5.04
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.4500.225$8.09$8.10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5000.175$7.30$13.55
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.2440.033$6.34$41.25
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.7100.335$5.84$6.54
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1300.043$5.79$11.52
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · No0.2200.145$5.06$2.61
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat? · Yes0.2400.095$4.89$7.47
Will USD/CAD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026? · No0.9400.755$4.02$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:18S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17?SELL0.999$6.78
09-17 20:18S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 17?SELL0.999$274.59
09-17 18:42S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?BUY0.96$18.52
09-17 17:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17?BUY0.9779999971$6.65
09-17 17:43S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?BUY0.95$28.50
09-17 17:36S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?BUY0.939999999$37.19
09-17 17:36S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?BUY0.9399999996$50.00
09-17 17:36S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?BUY0.9399999996$50.00
09-17 16:12WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17?BUY0.8839999973$13.27
09-17 16:12WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17?BUY0.8839999996$50.00
09-17 16:12WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17?BUY0.8839999996$50.00
09-17 16:02WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17?BUY0.8569999989$29.49
09-17 16:01WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17?SELL0.8633939394$31.34
09-17 16:01S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 17?SELL0.99$171.54
09-17 14:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17?BUY0.8119999988$41.52