Shant1010
0xb123d1b62c1b4d12e103cde75117faecae57b930
- Realised P&L
- $-15.63
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $375.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.961 | $326.57 | +$20.57 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.025 | $48.40 | −$61.60 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up | 0.274 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.68 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET · Down | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1AM ET · Down | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6PM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2AM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.61at 0.910Solana Up or Down - January 31, 1PM ET
- +$18.93at 0.725Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
- +$16.65at 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5PM ET
- +$5.09at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$4.50at 0.400Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 02:47 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.0564563251 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 02:44 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 02-18 05:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $306.00 |
| 02-03 02:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.241 | $2.37 |
| 02-03 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $36.64 |
| 02-02 22:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.5452238389 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 07:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 02-02 06:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 02-01 04:56 | XRP Up or Down - January 31, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.1761252211 | $5.00 |
| 01-31 19:37 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.05 |
| 01-31 19:17 | Solana Up or Down - January 31, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.3066688896 | $9.20 |
| 01-31 19:01 | Solana Up or Down - January 31, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $489.51 |
| 01-31 08:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.011 | $0.11 |