Shant1010
0xb123d1b62c1b4d12e103cde75117faecae57b930
- Realised P&L
- $-66.24
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $100.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.61at 0.910Solana Up or Down - January 31, 1PM ET
- +$23.05at 0.900Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$18.93at 0.725Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
- +$16.65at 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5PM ET
- +$5.09at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | SELL | 0.374 | $1.60 |
| 10-19 16:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | SELL | 0.308 | $3.08 |
| 10-19 16:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.3909999779 | $5.59 |
| 10-19 00:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-19 00:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-12 02:18 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.463 | $92.60 |
| 10-12 02:14 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 02:12 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.11 |
| 10-12 02:12 | US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 10-12 02:10 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $329.46 |
| 08-05 02:47 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.0564563251 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 02:44 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 02-18 05:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $306.00 |
| 02-03 02:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.241 | $2.37 |
| 02-03 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |