qcp12
0xb1040d593a46e9aafb89fae071486871db1010c9
- Realised P&L
- $-471.29
- Volume
- $133.8k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $129.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.28at 0.230Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
- +$105.52at 0.329Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
- +$88.07at 0.319Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
- +$51.54at 0.517Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$49.32at 0.540Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 18:03 | Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.389 | $3.99 |
| 10-06 12:08 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.14 |
| 10-01 04:05 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.28 |
| 10-01 04:05 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 04:02 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.34 |
| 10-01 03:36 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.67 |
| 10-01 03:35 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.67 |
| 10-01 03:34 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.95 |
| 10-01 03:33 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.67 |
| 10-01 03:33 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.24 |
| 10-01 03:32 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.67 |
| 09-14 18:52 | Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | BUY | 0.294 | $3.67 |
| 09-14 18:52 | Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | BUY | 0.294 | $3.46 |
| 09-11 01:56 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.00 |
| 09-11 01:56 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.68 |