PolyBot

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Traders

qcp12

0xb1040d593a46e9aafb89fae071486871db1010c9

Realised P&L
$-471.29
Volume
$133.8k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$129.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 18:03Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.389$3.99
10-06 12:080 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?BUY0.11$3.14
10-01 04:05Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.05$3.28
10-01 04:05Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
10-01 04:02Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.05$0.34
10-01 03:36Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$4.67
10-01 03:35Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$4.67
10-01 03:34Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$2.95
10-01 03:33Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$4.67
10-01 03:33Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$1.24
10-01 03:32Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$4.67
09-14 18:52Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?BUY0.294$3.67
09-14 18:52Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?BUY0.294$3.46
09-11 01:56Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?BUY0.46$4.00
09-11 01:56Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?BUY0.46$3.68