PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lamegawi

0xb0e1197098e6d427c01720f1631cad24ce740fa0

Realised P&L
$-339.48
Volume
$171.5k
Markets traded
1,144
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,144
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? · No0.4400.996$155.92+$87.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · No0.2000.185$93.85−$7.61
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3000.285$84.39−$4.44
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · No0.3670.285$80.76−$23.24
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? · No0.7470.995$77.59+$19.34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? · No0.8600.967$71.54+$7.92
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · No0.7030.726$66.09+$2.09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? · No0.7900.815$65.35+$2.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? · No0.7200.725$63.35+$0.44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No0.7800.765$63.17−$1.24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%? · No0.7300.725$62.92−$0.43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7400.735$61.86−$0.42
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.6800.735$58.37+$4.37
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1? · No0.7600.998$55.97+$13.35
Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? · No0.7680.771$47.53+$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:40Jake Ferguson: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.72$41.89
11-01 14:192026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.78$64.41
10-30 21:27Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.17$2.61
10-30 20:41Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3$88.83
10-30 14:46Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9$44.40
10-30 14:15Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.38$3.80
10-29 04:07Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?BUY0.88$53.41
10-26 10:52Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?SELL0.17$5.75
10-26 08:06Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?BUY0.2$6.77
10-24 10:58Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?SELL0.15$3.91
10-24 05:57Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?SELL0.3068463843$7.17
10-23 22:05Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?BUY0.884$44.20
10-23 04:51Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?BUY0.74$3.49
10-22 15:39US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.23$54.03
10-18 15:24Malik Nabers: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.64$52.41