PolyBot

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Traders

dannyboy24

0xb0c3a00e9426b19dda373ad3c951b8a329a6a7b6

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$113.3k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$11.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.961$6.0k+$635.62
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.8490.973$2.2k+$277.17
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9230.958$1.1k+$40.90
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9430.981$784.38+$29.60
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? · No0.9460.999$299.55+$15.87
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.966$289.65+$10.65
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8330.945$283.50+$33.50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9640.981$196.10+$3.30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8400.958$191.60+$23.60
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.972$97.15+$9.15
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8400.945$94.50+$10.50
Obama federally charged before 2027? · No0.7980.969$57.32+$10.09
Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? · Yes0.8660.872$35.74+$0.23
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? · Yes0.6100.890$35.60+$11.20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2400.221$22.05$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 12:16Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.74$14.80
09-06 12:15Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.48$9.60
09-06 12:13Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?BUY0.9479994$189.60
09-06 12:12Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?BUY0.94079$94.08
09-02 06:16Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?BUY0.866$34.64
05-27 05:57Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL0.77$41.39
05-24 11:33Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL0.77$82.78
04-21 17:41Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.79$308.10
02-28 07:11Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.83$415.00
02-20 10:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.84$672.00
02-17 04:18Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.9$180.00
01-28 06:31Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.92$460.00
12-19 14:44Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?BUY0.87$261.00
12-07 20:19Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?BUY0.19$8.41
11-20 15:59Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?BUY0.25$250.00