PolyBot

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Traders

dannyboy24

0xb0c3a00e9426b19dda373ad3c951b8a329a6a7b6

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$116.5k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$13.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.972$6.1k+$701.66
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.8490.980$2.2k+$292.82
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9230.973$1.2k+$58.90
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9430.992$793.18+$38.40
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.983$294.75+$15.75
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8330.966$289.80+$39.80
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9640.989$197.70+$4.90
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8400.981$196.10+$28.10
Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.8370.875$192.57+$8.30
Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.8440.865$164.35+$3.95
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.7420.855$162.45+$21.45
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.6480.580$144.90−$17.10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · No0.9200.930$139.50+$1.50
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.8440.930$111.60+$10.30
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.8400.915$111.56+$9.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 06:18Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.7$140.00
11-01 06:18Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.7158331597$171.79
11-01 06:17Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.7492925$149.86
11-01 06:17Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.7989219048$167.77
11-01 06:17Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.8$8.00
11-01 06:16Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.9$4.50
11-01 06:16Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.9008149514$146.53
11-01 06:15Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.8612289526$176.87
11-01 06:14Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.699$3.49
11-01 06:14Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.49$2.45
10-25 19:41Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.08$20.00
10-23 12:26Viktor Orbán arrested by...?BUY0.69$25.15
10-23 11:50Will Russell Westbrook play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?BUY0.987$7.52
10-22 20:22Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.82$32.80
10-22 11:41Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?BUY0.92$138.00