dannyboy24
0xb0c3a00e9426b19dda373ad3c951b8a329a6a7b6
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $116.5k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $13.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.219Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$758.19at 0.180Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$524.32at 0.351Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
- +$283.48at 0.119Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$265.65at 0.473Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:18 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 11-01 06:18 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7158331597 | $171.79 |
| 11-01 06:17 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7492925 | $149.86 |
| 11-01 06:17 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7989219048 | $167.77 |
| 11-01 06:17 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 11-01 06:16 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 11-01 06:16 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9008149514 | $146.53 |
| 11-01 06:15 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8612289526 | $176.87 |
| 11-01 06:14 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.699 | $3.49 |
| 11-01 06:14 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-25 19:41 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 12:26 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.69 | $25.15 |
| 10-23 11:50 | Will Russell Westbrook play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.987 | $7.52 |
| 10-22 20:22 | Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 10-22 11:41 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $138.00 |