dannyboy24
0xb0c3a00e9426b19dda373ad3c951b8a329a6a7b6
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $113.3k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.219Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$758.19at 0.180Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$524.32at 0.351Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
- +$283.48at 0.119Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$265.65at 0.473Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 12:16 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-06 12:15 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-06 12:13 | Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9479994 | $189.60 |
| 09-06 12:12 | Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.94079 | $94.08 |
| 09-02 06:16 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.866 | $34.64 |
| 05-27 05:57 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.77 | $41.39 |
| 05-24 11:33 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.77 | $82.78 |
| 04-21 17:41 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $308.10 |
| 02-28 07:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $415.00 |
| 02-20 10:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $672.00 |
| 02-17 04:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 01-28 06:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 12-19 14:44 | Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.87 | $261.00 |
| 12-07 20:19 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.19 | $8.41 |
| 11-20 15:59 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |