PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

honduraslover

0xaff389b0c6e066057c44c25fae7277880b276ecc

Realised P&L
$-72.4k
Volume
$7.98M
Markets traded
2,375
Open portfolio
$8.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,375
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9320.955$921.80+$21.47
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3330.880$901.39+$560.44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4820.555$734.64+$97.13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7810.905$702.39+$96.28
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5190.555$690.49+$45.16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.981$413.29+$0.21
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8810.935$334.84+$19.26
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1840.207$236.89+$27.16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6740.810$233.50+$39.20
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9240.945$232.02+$5.24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5980.525$175.52$24.36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1810.118$175.36$93.06
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0210.019$174.12$12.79
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6370.925$159.56+$49.64
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8780.945$123.74+$8.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:25Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesSELL0.991$50.82
08-02 22:25Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesSELL0.001$0.04
08-02 22:07Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.7399999992$70.00
08-02 21:53Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
08-02 21:49Solana Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSELL0.5$10.00
08-02 21:47Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.07$0.77
08-02 21:47Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.05$0.65
08-02 21:47Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.05$0.54
08-02 21:44BNB Up or Down - August 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSELL0.4951020408$4.85
08-02 21:42BNB Up or Down - August 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
08-02 21:42BNB Up or Down - August 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
08-02 21:41Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United end in a draw?BUY0.2299999985$104.01
08-02 21:34Solana Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.51$10.20
08-02 21:31BNB Up or Down - August 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.4776541196$114.21
08-02 21:29Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.88$90.62