PolyBot

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Traders

honduraslover

0xaff389b0c6e066057c44c25fae7277880b276ecc

Realised P&L
$-105.0k
Volume
$8.94M
Markets traded
15,379
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15,379
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3340.945$967.98+$625.85
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9320.977$944.08+$42.67
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7810.955$741.20+$134.93
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.989$418.69+$3.60
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8810.966$345.76+$30.19
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4820.285$326.65−$225.36
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9240.959$235.33+$8.56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1850.183$209.71−$2.15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1810.124$184.23−$84.18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.5900.630$176.19+$11.19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6390.955$164.74+$54.49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4130.705$161.63+$66.88
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.6390.433$136.38−$64.98
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3110.948$127.13+$85.35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5440.715$111.06+$26.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:14Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
11-01 21:14Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
11-01 21:04Queretaro (Doubles): Costoulas/Strakhova vs Cano/PodoroskaSELL0.999$40.85
11-01 20:30Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?SELL0.93$1.06
11-01 20:30Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?SELL0.93$1.06
11-01 19:58Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
11-01 19:58Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
11-01 18:56Titans vs. BengalsBUY0.74$1.00
11-01 18:54Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$105.28
11-01 18:53Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
11-01 18:53Browns vs. SteelersBUY0.8399999998$158.30
11-01 18:52Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.7899996577$1.50
11-01 18:51Spread: Steelers (-13.5)BUY0.5699999886$1.00
11-01 18:47Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5)BUY0.8099999352$1.00
11-01 18:42Queretaro (Doubles): Costoulas/Strakhova vs Cano/PodoroskaBUY0.743598354$30.41