PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xaf88a8b5b60aea0d0ca158df3dbb32bb7a6cb854-1793141717990

0xaf88a8b5b60aea0d0ca158df3dbb32bb7a6cb854

Realised P&L
$-122.89
Volume
$15.0k
Markets traded
596
Open portfolio
$18.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded596
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hunter Greene win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0010.004$3.50+$2.50
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Down0.1600.300$1.89+$0.88
Will Podemos win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0060.010$1.67+$0.67
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00+$0.00
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.0020.002$0.92−$0.08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.005$0.92−$0.08
Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75−$0.25
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75−$0.25
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in October? · Yes0.0040.003$0.75−$0.25
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0050.004$0.70−$0.30
Will "Saros" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? · Yes0.0040.003$0.66−$0.34
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0100.005$0.55−$0.45
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$0.50−$0.50
Will Philip Zinckernagel win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Kazuma Okamoto win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 06:24Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.16$1.01
11-02 06:09Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.1499999864$1.10
11-02 06:09Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.1799999894$1.36
11-02 05:39Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.1699999887$1.05
11-02 05:19Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.1799999794$1.05
11-02 05:19Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.1299999961$1.01
11-02 05:04Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.2699999724$1.47
11-02 04:59Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.2$1.11
11-02 04:49Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.17$1.36
11-02 04:49Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.24$1.32
11-02 04:39Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.1813636265$1.05
11-02 04:29BNB Up or Down - November 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.2599999618$1.36
11-02 04:19Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.1099999902$1.01
11-02 04:19Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.2$1.26
11-02 04:19Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.16$1.01