0xaf3449b61b4dE7146E1bF9fDD39ea77c0117a2b7-1768400533984
0xaf3449b61b4de7146e1bf9fdd39ea77c0117a2b7
- Realised P&L
- $-20.98
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $14.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.36at 0.032Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$16.83at 0.144Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$13.23at 0.106Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?
- +$12.73at 0.286Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
- +$12.43at 0.467Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:29 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:29 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:28 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:26 | Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0609999986 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:25 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:23 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:22 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0939999991 | $3.95 |
| 10-26 21:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 21:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 21:17 | Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.3002130312 | $3.00 |
| 06-26 17:50 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0370000007 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 17:47 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY | 0.1799999106 | $1.57 |
| 06-26 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $5.79 |
| 06-26 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 17:44 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002121875 | $0.68 |