PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xaf3449b61b4dE7146E1bF9fDD39ea77c0117a2b7-1768400533984

0xaf3449b61b4de7146e1bf9fdd39ea77c0117a2b7

Realised P&L
$-20.98
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$14.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0940.100$4.18+$0.23
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · No0.0900.375$4.17+$3.17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0370.052$2.84+$0.84
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0360.033$0.92−$0.08
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0610.043$0.70−$0.30
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.017$0.63−$5.29
Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.3000.040$0.40−$2.60
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.60
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4850.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$1.57
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$4.90
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? · No0.0330.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 21:29Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0359999997$1.00
10-26 21:29Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?BUY0.0309999995$1.00
10-26 21:28Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.019$1.00
10-26 21:26Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0609999986$1.00
10-26 21:25US imports Russian diesel by December 31?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-26 21:23Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
10-26 21:22Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0939999991$3.95
10-26 21:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?BUY0.0329999992$1.00
10-26 21:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.05$3.00
10-26 21:17Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.3002130312$3.00
06-26 17:50Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0370000007$2.00
06-26 17:47Will Trump say "Fake News" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?BUY0.1799999106$1.57
06-26 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSELL0.44$5.79
06-26 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.3799999742$5.00
06-26 17:44Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?SELL0.002121875$0.68