MegaKong
0xaed29198b46d25a5b2b3b2556bd1cb39c6138e93
- Realised P&L
- $-121.0k
- Volume
- $5.60M
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.605Portugal vs. France - Who will advance?
- +$2.3kat 0.180Will Manchester City win the FA Cup?
- +$2.2kat 0.918Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.702Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
- +$907.30at 0.437Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 09:40 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5124937656 | $20.55 |
| 08-25 09:35 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.257570914 | $22.88 |
| 08-25 09:33 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0719462494 | $112.07 |
| 08-25 09:31 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0757641695 | $9.64 |
| 08-25 09:31 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1 | $26.77 |
| 08-25 09:30 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $13.50 |
| 08-22 13:56 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4601480638 | $404.01 |
| 08-22 12:16 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0699543071 | $46.69 |
| 08-22 12:16 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0634053517 | $22.96 |
| 08-22 12:05 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 08-22 11:56 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.572 | $57.20 |
| 08-22 11:48 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.466 | $46.60 |
| 08-22 11:48 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3967145215 | $139.38 |
| 08-22 11:35 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3098853211 | $270.22 |
| 08-22 11:34 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4773727439 | $323.74 |