PolyBot

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Traders

0xaeb82a8aaa8827394e8e22ba9b2e5eab8203b043

0xaeb82a8aaa8827394e8e22ba9b2e5eab8203b043

Realised P&L
$-5.09
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$12.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.715$2.80+$0.80
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7500.955$2.55+$0.55
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0230.048$2.02+$1.02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5100.715$1.40+$0.40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6490.825$1.23+$0.26
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? · Yes0.9800.936$0.95−$0.04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.2300.125$0.54−$0.46
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes0.3200.110$0.34−$0.66
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2500.045$0.18−$0.82
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5200.045$0.09−$0.91
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0380.011$0.07−$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 00:46NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-01 10:09Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.757$1.00
07-30 03:08U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.9703692418$1.00
07-30 02:48U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.9439999773$1.00
07-30 02:29U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.937999955$1.00
07-27 23:32Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?BUY0.04$1.00
07-27 23:32Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?BUY0.9739999922$1.00
07-27 18:18US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.9539999828$1.00
07-27 18:18US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?BUY0.97$1.00
07-20 23:25Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.997$1.00
07-20 23:12Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.996$1.00
07-20 16:53Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.9939992147$1.00
07-20 16:53Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.9939992147$1.00
07-20 14:26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.72$4.48
07-10 15:40Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.8299999087$1.00