hn4bnjzt04ux
0xaeadacf9d662310a427262d0d22490179c4012e1
- Realised P&L
- $45.02
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 906
- Open portfolio
- $95.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded906
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$423.48at 0.338Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini
- +$31.36at 0.489LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$29.54at 0.337Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
- +$24.77at 0.377LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$22.81at 0.358Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 18:24 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $0.17 |
| 10-15 21:39 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8789999969 | $5.64 |
| 10-15 20:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.04 |
| 10-15 17:54 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.95 |
| 10-15 12:36 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $8.83 |
| 10-15 12:29 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.01 |
| 10-15 12:29 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $11.39 |
| 10-15 11:52 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.46 |
| 10-15 09:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999493 | $1.99 |
| 10-15 09:51 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.07 |
| 10-15 07:52 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.01 |
| 10-15 07:52 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.15 |
| 10-15 07:49 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.10 |
| 10-14 21:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.41 |
| 10-14 21:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.55 |