DontDonk
0xae352ae84b427591909af56e756df343996576db
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $285.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,687
- Open portfolio
- $841.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,687
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$336.44at 0.473Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12PM ET
- +$278.58at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2PM ET
- +$248.34at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5PM ET
- +$232.58at 0.448Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4PM ET
- +$221.20at 0.290MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 09-30 00:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 09-29 14:48 | OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-28 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 09-28 03:12 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.582 | $17.45 |
| 09-27 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.58 |
| 09-27 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $149.55 |
| 09-27 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.9968 | $149.52 |
| 09-25 15:45 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.825 | $8.25 |
| 09-25 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $101.90 |
| 09-25 03:20 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 15:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-24 15:02 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.92 |
| 09-24 15:02 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.628 | $3.25 |
| 09-24 05:09 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |