ClayWise
0xadaf57e52c32ec974bf0467de76116547b851dde
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $47.6k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$444.52at 0.2052024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$332.14at 0.070GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
- +$310.71at 0.578Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
- +$250.38at 0.035Will Trump nominate Ben Carson for HHS Secretary?
- +$224.30at 0.774Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:03 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.2999999991 | $35.00 |
| 05-15 01:37 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k? | BUY | 0.2789999746 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 01:37 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 23:36 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7370000001 | $68.00 |
| 02-28 00:42 | Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $4.96 |
| 02-28 00:42 | Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $9.92 |
| 02-25 02:00 | Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 02:00 | Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.00 |
| 02-25 01:58 | Will Mitch McConnell attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.7236846416 | $15.00 |
| 02-18 01:09 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 02-08 19:56 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0189999963 | $5.00 |
| 02-08 19:56 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 02-08 19:55 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 02-08 19:54 | Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 04:42 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.7099999957 | $25.00 |