PolyBot

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Traders

ErnstKuzorra

0xad8e0a79c34730774cfb1870d9fbdc0bfa45776e

Realised P&L
$-8.4k
Volume
$1.46M
Markets traded
630
Open portfolio
$16.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded630
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9390.945$3.0k+$18.30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6960.715$2.1k+$54.20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8320.825$2.0k−$17.74
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.989$2.0k+$14.01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9600.981$2.0k+$41.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.955$1.9k+$50.00
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.952$1.9k+$72.82
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.9100.964$963.99+$53.50
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0090.009$548.09+$38.25
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · No0.9160.944$418.19+$12.43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 1? · No0.8881.000$165.92+$18.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:38Ravens vs. BillsBUY0.7799999997$500.00
11-01 09:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 1?BUY0.888$12.43
11-01 09:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 1?BUY0.888$8.88
11-01 09:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 1?BUY0.8876478873$126.05
11-01 09:22Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?BUY0.9770936455$146.08
11-01 09:20Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 1?BUY0.999$134.89
11-01 09:20Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 1?BUY0.977$16.61
10-28 13:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.948$1.5k
10-26 13:13Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.9311268855$188.89
10-25 07:07NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$3.2k
10-24 19:19NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.976$312.32
10-18 18:35Chargers vs. ChiefsSELL0.78$246.83
10-18 18:35Commanders vs. 49ersSELL0.78$250.00
10-18 17:41Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?SELL0.01$0.10
10-18 17:41Ravens vs. BrownsSELL0.82$942.58