PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

seethreepoh

0xad542a9537053b919f01a4cd3ece03c81bac006a

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$175.1k
Markets traded
1,307
Open portfolio
$782.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,307
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5400.565$212.77+$9.41
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.6600.715$127.95+$9.84
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4900.560$99.96+$12.50
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.5600.605$53.16+$3.95
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5 · Over0.5100.535$50.24+$2.35
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-13.5) · Louisiana-Monroe0.5200.545$49.67+$2.28
Clemson vs. California: O/U 50.5 · Under0.4900.485$48.51−$0.50
Ole Miss vs. Florida · Florida0.5800.605$47.73+$1.97
Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles0.6800.675$45.57−$0.34
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4650.421$43.25−$4.46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1600.065$2.03−$2.97
Clavicular sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1400.055$1.18−$1.82
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) · San Diego Padres0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Atlanta Braves0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox0.4800.000$0.00−$19.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 02:41San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.6$75.88
09-24 23:15Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesBUY0.61$8.05
09-24 23:08Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.62$169.36
09-24 20:00Clemson vs. California: O/U 50.5BUY0.49$49.01
09-24 19:24Miami Marlins vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.56$147.04
09-24 19:18New York Mets vs. Texas RangersBUY0.44$143.77
09-24 18:37Spread: Florida Atlantic (-13.5)BUY0.52$47.39
09-24 16:52St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.63$165.78
09-24 12:30Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5BUY0.51$47.89
09-24 03:39San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.62$177.08
09-24 00:43Miami Marlins vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.48$149.28
09-23 23:53Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.43$139.28
09-23 23:51Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.62$165.82
09-23 22:58St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.45$146.71
09-23 18:17Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.46$158.65