PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LR1

0xad287cbd7db82d684a5066515c7ee624df111601

Realised P&L
$12.5k
Volume
$3.06M
Markets traded
1,062
Open portfolio
$23.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,062
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 02:33Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$1.6k
10-31 08:13Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.23$117.94
10-31 08:11Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.23$230.00
10-31 08:10Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.23$276.00
10-31 08:05Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.74$547.96
10-31 06:39Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.67$330.75
10-31 06:38Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?BUY0.86$86.00
10-31 06:36Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.26$26.00
10-31 06:35Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.94$188.00
10-31 06:34Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.06$7.56
10-26 20:09Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.86$301.00
10-22 12:53Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.091$6.25
10-16 21:52Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.922$18.44
10-10 06:29Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.37$37.00
10-10 06:28Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.38$38.00