PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xac93558d61512c63dff8cdd27a8c47971a33dd86

Realised P&L
$-121.83
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$77.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)13.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Brex IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0080.013$8.13+$3.13
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.2900.365$6.29+$1.29
Waymo IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0690.030$4.44$5.56
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.1100.095$4.32$0.68
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.1800.155$4.31$0.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2100.175$4.17$0.83
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.0290.024$4.11$0.89
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0800.065$4.06$0.94
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.2600.185$3.56$1.44
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes0.0600.055$3.25$0.29
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · Yes0.0600.035$2.92$2.08
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1300.073$2.83$2.17
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1200.065$2.71$2.29
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0370.018$2.50$2.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1020.046$2.28$2.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 18:44Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.0292240432$5.00
09-13 18:44Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-13 18:42Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.06$3.54
09-13 18:42Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
09-13 18:41Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.12$4.80
09-13 18:37Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
09-13 18:36Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-13 18:33Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$5.00
09-13 18:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-13 18:31Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0369999998$5.00
09-13 18:28Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
09-13 18:27Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.0438854588$5.00
09-13 18:26Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-13 18:26Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-13 18:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999974$5.00