0xac93558d61512c63dff8cdd27a8c47971a33dd86
- Realised P&L
- $-121.83
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $77.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.24at 0.210US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$30.93at 0.143SHEIN IPO before 2027?
- +$21.32at 0.190US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$20.50at 0.196Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$-2.24at 0.005Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:44 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.0292240432 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:44 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:42 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.54 |
| 09-13 18:42 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:41 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-13 18:37 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:36 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:31 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0369999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:28 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:27 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0438854588 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:26 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:26 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |