0xAc49929D881680007dA608F98a5f4b93141b51C4-1776205108848
0xac49929d881680007da608f98a5f4b93141b51c4
- Realised P&L
- $57.64
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $53.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.56at 0.090QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
- +$38.43at 0.347Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
- +$28.53at 0.349Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?
- +$25.34at 0.150US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$23.98at 0.301Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 11:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 11:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 11:19 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-25 19:00 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 18:58 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 12:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 07:54 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 07:54 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 11:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.150613751 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 11:23 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4199999944 | $30.00 |
| 07-16 11:23 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.63 |
| 07-15 12:26 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 14:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3125 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 14:55 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2924999602 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 13:12 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |