PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAc49929D881680007dA608F98a5f4b93141b51C4-1776205108848

0xac49929d881680007da608f98a5f4b93141b51c4

Realised P&L
$57.64
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$53.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1400.105$11.25$3.75
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.145$9.67$0.33
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3700.305$8.24$1.76
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.155$5.54+$0.54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.245$4.54$0.46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2300.065$2.83$7.17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2700.235$2.61$0.39
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1300.135$2.08+$0.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3900.395$2.03+$0.03
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1300.045$1.73$3.27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · Yes0.1140.079$1.37$0.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.1200.065$1.08$0.92
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0700.035$0.99$1.01
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 11:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.119999952$2.00
09-01 11:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
09-01 11:19Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.269999937$3.00
08-25 19:00Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
08-25 18:58Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
08-21 12:32Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
08-19 07:54Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
08-19 07:54Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-20 11:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.150613751$5.00
07-16 11:23Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4199999944$30.00
07-16 11:23Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.13$1.63
07-15 12:26Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-14 14:55Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3125$5.00
07-14 14:55Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2924999602$5.00
07-12 13:12Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3299999591$5.00