PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bvx

0xac2fba23f27b1a8215e23de8bdfeec7fef26b8af

Realised P&L
$37.25
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$221.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.7700.840$54.55+$4.55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4300.415$51.88−$1.88
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? · Yes0.8600.880$44.00+$1.00
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? · Yes0.4700.475$23.75+$0.25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.8400.895$22.38+$1.38
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.345$17.25−$5.75
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27? · Yes0.7800.800$8.00+$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:42Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.43$53.75
10-02 19:41Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?BUY0.47$23.50
10-02 19:32Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.0104861963$0.21
09-28 15:14Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.46$23.00
09-28 15:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.84$21.00
09-28 15:11Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?BUY0.86$43.00
09-27 21:36Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.7699999992$50.00
09-27 21:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.84$112.00
09-09 15:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.7499999963$100.00
09-08 23:16Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.022007448$1.00
09-03 21:07Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.6899999985$45.00
09-03 21:04Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.0809999926$10.00
08-28 21:27Will Dell say "Inflation" or "Inflationary" during earnings call?BUY0.5$15.00
08-28 21:21Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?BUY0.4299999968$42.00
08-28 21:01Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?BUY0.4$10.00