Bvx
0xac2fba23f27b1a8215e23de8bdfeec7fef26b8af
- Realised P&L
- $37.25
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $221.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.840 | $54.55 | +$4.55 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.415 | $51.88 | −$1.88 |
| Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.880 | $44.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.475 | $23.75 | +$0.25 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.895 | $22.38 | +$1.38 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.345 | $17.25 | −$5.75 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.800 | $8.00 | +$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.48at 0.434Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
- +$16.64at 0.730Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$14.70at 0.510Will Dell say "Inflation" or "Inflationary" during earnings call?
- +$12.00at 0.750Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$3.25at 0.870Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.43 | $53.75 |
| 10-02 19:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 10-02 19:32 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.0104861963 | $0.21 |
| 09-28 15:14 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 09-28 15:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.00 |
| 09-28 15:11 | Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 09-27 21:36 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 21:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $112.00 |
| 09-09 15:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7499999963 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 23:16 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.022007448 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:07 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.6899999985 | $45.00 |
| 09-03 21:04 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0809999926 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 21:27 | Will Dell say "Inflation" or "Inflationary" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-28 21:21 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.4299999968 | $42.00 |
| 08-28 21:01 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |