ReCoPM
0xabd6c16c939ed93976f00706785714aea5f97807
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $88.6k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.222Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?
- +$1.4kat 0.192Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$657.66at 0.784Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?
- +$503.87at 0.370Texans vs. Chiefs
- +$288.01at 0.723Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 15:21 | Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10? | BUY | 0.9575492458 | $1.1k |
| 05-27 15:18 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $31.12 |
| 04-13 05:08 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 03-02 08:54 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.83 | $697.20 |
| 03-02 08:53 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.30 |
| 02-27 04:33 | Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18? | SELL | 0.87 | $48.27 |
| 02-27 03:07 | Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.07 |
| 02-21 05:19 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $192.00 |
| 02-21 04:58 | Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10? | BUY | 0.876 | $87.60 |
| 02-07 11:56 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77628 | $77.63 |
| 02-07 11:55 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 02-04 09:07 | Don Lemon charges dropped? | BUY | 0.404499 | $404.50 |
| 01-14 06:17 | Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.607 | $6.07 |
| 01-14 06:16 | Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 01-05 22:23 | Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |