PolyBot

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Traders

ReCoPM

0xabd6c16c939ed93976f00706785714aea5f97807

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$88.6k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · No0.4800.808$1.4k+$549.18
Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10? · Yes0.9581.000$1.1k+$47.84
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.5000.825$439.61+$173.18
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.935$374.00+$74.00
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · No0.8910.951$371.42+$23.54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.7600.895$358.00+$54.00
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? · Yes0.7681.000$338.73+$78.68
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.4800.320$128.00$64.00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.395$111.08+$29.53
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.4801.000$85.00+$44.20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7760.655$65.50$12.13
Don Lemon charges dropped? · Yes0.4040.000$0.00$404.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 15:21Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10?BUY0.9575492458$1.1k
05-27 15:18Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.53$31.12
04-13 05:08Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.48$3.00
03-02 08:54Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.83$697.20
03-02 08:53Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.82$1.30
02-27 04:33Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?SELL0.87$48.27
02-27 03:07Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?SELL0.15$0.07
02-21 05:19Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.48$192.00
02-21 04:58Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?BUY0.876$87.60
02-07 11:56Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.77628$77.63
02-07 11:55Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.17$17.00
02-04 09:07Don Lemon charges dropped?BUY0.404499$404.50
01-14 06:17Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?BUY0.607$6.07
01-14 06:16Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?BUY0.34$3.40
01-05 22:23Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?BUY0.76$38.00